Visualization-Mediated Alleviation of the Planning Fallacy
نویسندگان
چکیده
The planning fallacy, i.e., people’s tendency to underestimate the time required to complete a project despite past failures, is ubiquitous and resistant to coping strategies. We propose scenarios where visualizations may help alleviate this problem, motivated by previous research in psychology. We hope that with the help of visualizations, people will become more reliable in their judgments and work together in a way that is both more productive and more gratifying.
منابع مشابه
Examine poverty alleviation policies in Iran based on overwhelming documents
The main purpose of the present study is to identify effective strategies to reduce poverty based on extracurricular documents with regional foresight approach. The method of this study is descriptive and qualitative in terms of research propositions. It has been done in two stages of library and Delphi method and with reference to 37 academics and executives in economics and management. In the...
متن کاملThe Semantics of the Goodness and the Ugly
There are different views concerning the meanings of the most important ethical concepts such as the goodness and the ugly. The author of this article while classifying various views and explaining them, tries to make a critical study of those views as well. Accordingly, first he goes on to examine critically the theory of emotionalists as one of the most important non-cognitive theories. Th...
متن کاملUsing census data to investigate the causes of the ecological fallacy.
"The authors show how data from the 2% Sample of Anonymised Records (SAR) can be combined with data from the Small Area Statistics (SAS) database to investigate the causes of the ecological fallacy in an Enumeration District (ED) level analysis. A range of census variables are examined in three ¿SAR districts'...in England. Results of comparable analyses from the 1986 Australian census are also...
متن کاملA Hybrid Method for Segmentation and Visualization of Teeth in Multi-Slice CT scan Images
Introduction: Various computer assisted medical procedures such as dental implant, orthodontic planning, face, jaw and cosmetic surgeries require automatic quantification and volumetric visualization of teeth. In this regard, segmentation is a major step. Material and Methods: In this paper, inspired by our previous experiences and considering the anatomical knowledge of teeth and jaws, we prop...
متن کاملAn Economic Model of the Planning Fallacy
People tend to underestimate the work involved in completing tasks and consequently finish tasks later than expected or do an inordinate amount of work right before projects are due. We present a theory in which people underpredict and procrastinate because the exante utility benefits of anticipating that a task will be easy to complete outweigh the average ex-post costs of poor planning. We sh...
متن کامل